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Charm the dealer, like Kim, make strong bets like denuclearization, push them as close to a 21 as possible, and hope they bust. For America’s allies, it’s a crapshoot. And Trump holds the dice. Many people have interests on the table, the odds are high, from four per cent NATO commitments to tariff wars; Trump just rolls the dice. If it all comes up snake eyes? He rolls again. Forget what advisers may say , forget the emotional trust of North Korean defectors, forget it all. Go until the house folds. Difficult as it is to predict the long-term consequences of Trump’s bellicose personality on global stability, be it with NATO or Russia or North Korea, his beloved game of Casino Diplomacy provides insight. Much like a problem gambler, Trump engages the world stage through narcissistic risk-taking.

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